From the AP: "Abbas said the troops faced an estimated 450-500 militants in Buner and forecast Wednesday that the operation to drive them out would take about a week.
He has dismissed fears that the capital Islamabad, separated from Buner by the Indus River and the Margalla Hills, was under any threat of a militant takeover as alarmist, expressing a confidence in Pakistan's huge army that many Western observers do not share."
---
Ok, if it's estimated that it will take a week to drive out 500 militants... your army sucks. As if that hasn't already been observed by the entire world when Pak made truces and whatnot with the Taliban. Whatever "culture" or mechanism that has allowed the continued propegation of the Taliban in Pak is spelling the doom of Pak as we know it today. For tomorrow, barring international intervention, Pak will be a nation of terrorists armed with nuclear missiles.
So, here's the deal. Pak's current government is weak and afraid to take a strong stand against the Taliban. Pak's current military is... weak and afraid to take a strong stand against the Taliban. Pak's current civilian population is... weak and afraid to take a strong stand against the Taliban, many even support the Taliban, apparently. Thus, no matter what, things are going to change in Pak.
If things are left to go as they have, then the Pak government will collapse and the Taliban will forcefully take over. If the international community intervenes, all sorts of change can and will happen. If the Pak governement, army, and/or people grow a pair of nuts and decide to determine their own future, then that would obviously be best and that would definitely be a change.
But what are the odds that the Pak government, army, or people will decide to determine their own future, or fate? Not good. The gene pool in Pak is comprised of muslim people who decided to flee India. So, they lack sack to begin with. Of course there are exceptions to every rule, genes mutate, etc., but for the most part, as a whole, and even in looking at how they got into this current situation, does not bode well for Pak as we knew it.
When the Taliban fled into Pakistan, they probably had no idea what a soft cushion they landed on. It didn't take the Taliban long before they intimidated and controlled the people in the region. Even now, today, there is only 500 Taliban causing so much grief for the Pak army. So soft is Pak, that the Taliban can actually continue "operations" in Afghanistan while taking over Pak.
So, there you have it. It doesn't take a genius to see the eventual demise of Pak. But are others willing to let it come to fruition?
India... another nuclear nation with a long history of disputes with Pak. How will India react? Will India be proactive? That's doubtful. If anything, India is so passive that they won't even take part in an international effort to quash terrorists on their own border. You never know, but even if they do help or try to be proactive, their army is probably similar to Pak's, so they may not be very effective no matter how you cut it.
That means, of course, the UN because nuclear-armed terrorists are bad for everyone. The Pak government won't destroy their weapons in case they somehow live through this, and probably can't destroy them fast enough anyway, unless they launched them... but I refer back to the assertion of "no nuts." (Truman, biggest nuts ever.) That's another thing though, a nuclear armed nation dying to a bunch of hillbillies with AK-47s. That's just pathetic.
So, Pak deserves to get whatever change is coming to them... and it is definitely coming. They simply cannot exist as they have, because their current structure has already failed. Democracy takes nuts, and Pak has none... so they were doomed before the Taliban showed up.
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment